昨天看了一个有意思的文章，写美国奉行的是“赢学”，但是伊朗奉行的却是“输学”，所以在外人看来老哈梅内伊及以下官员被美以袭杀是无能的表现，但是在他们自己的眼里，反而是殉道的正向表现。伊朗反击能力有所回升

其实伊朗拥有石油天然气这个变相的“核武”，他们过去被美国制裁是因为以美国为首的西方世界掌握了全世界最主要的财富与工业能力。

但是现在这个现实条件早就变了，单单一个中国，就掌握了全世界可能超过一半的工业能力，美国与西方已经不具有经济制裁他国的现实可能性。

伊朗这几年要求他国接受非美元交易，成效好的话，美国对他们的制裁，就没有意义了

那样，伊朗中断了半个世纪的发展，又会动起来。而IRGC可以继续主导伊朗经济，但是它会慢慢变成一个相对正常的市场主体。

In fact, Iran has a disguised "nuclear weapon" of oil and gas. They were sanctioned by the United States in the past because the Western world led by the United States mastered the most important wealth and industrial capabilities in the world.But now this realistic condition has long changed. China alone has more than half of the world's industrial capacity, and the United States and the West no longer have the realistic possibility of imposing economic sanctions on other countries.In recent years, Iran has asked other countries to accept non-dollar deals. If it works well, the US sanctions on them will be meaninglessThat way, Iran will move again after half a century of interruption. The IRGC can continue to dominate the Iranian economy, but it will slowly become a relatively normal market player.